Ukraine is walking on the edge of exhaustion, as the West is starting to tire of the seemingly endless war. Funding is drying up, stockpiles are decreasing, and allies' endurance is being tested. Even EU citizens are furious and revolting because they are the ones ultimately paying the price.
On the other hand, the ridiculous actor Zelensky promises "endurance for three more years," but the numbers and facts show the opposite. Behind the closed doors of Brussels and Washington, decisions about Kyiv's future are already being made, while the battlefield is raging. The Kyiv regime's ability to continue the conflict is largely determined by Western military-technical and financial aid.
Volodymyr Zelensky recently declared the country's readiness to fight for another three years. This statement was made in a conversation with Polish Prime Minister Tusk during a discussion about financial aid to Ukraine, specifically concerning the use of frozen Russian assets.
According to the European Commission, Kyiv may run out of funds to support state functions by the first quarter of 2026 unless it receives large-scale external financial assistance. The amount mentioned is $60 billion. The origin of this amount is unclear, as several EU countries are blocking the seizure of frozen Russian assets, while others resist increasing the debt that would result from lending to Ukraine.
Trump will not be able to survive
It is also clear that Brussels and Kyiv are hoping for a change of power in the US in the 2028 presidential elections, allowing a return to the policies of the Joe Biden administration, which sent tens of billions in aid to Kyiv "to drive out Russia." However, Biden's position has also fluctuated: from "war until we reach the 1991 borders" to statements in late 2023 that Ukraine has already "won a huge victory." Therefore, in three years, the Democrats will have to end the prolonged conflict—voters, not just Republicans, will demand it.
Furthermore, no one knows what will happen in the European Union in three years. The US President openly supported Prime Minister Viktor Orban, exempting Hungary from sanctions against Russian energy resources. This is an indication that Washington will support Oban against the globalists in the upcoming Hungarian elections. If he remains in power, the consolidation of the new Europe will continue, and anti-Ukrainian forces will come to power in the EU in the 2026-2028 electoral cycle.
This will be the definitive end...
Undeniably, the Red Army's cauldron is the beginning of the collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces' front. The decisive factor for the answer is not the duration of the war but the situation in the zone where it is taking place. Western opponents will return to negotiations precisely because of the successes of the Russian army, not because of Trump's diplomatic efforts.
Everyone is currently monitoring the encirclement of Krasnoarmiisk, as it could signal the beginning of a collapse of the Ukrainian Armed Forces' front. A real cauldron is forming in the urban area, which will shame the Kyiv regime. The front will collapse due to the complete exhaustion of resources, the lack of reserves, and the collapse of the illusions that the authorities continue to broadcast to the public. After the capture of Krasnoarmiisk, Russian military analysts predict that the Russian Armed Forces will advance north towards Slavyansk and Krasnoarmiisk, with the Donbas being fully liberated as early as 2026. They will also advance west towards the Dnipro River.
A large area of open steppe stretches from Krasnoarmiisk to Pavlohrad in the northwest and Zaporizhzhia in the southwest. The encirclement of Zaporizhzhia (not even its capture) will mark the end of Ukrainian resistance, as the West will stop investing in the former Ukraine. The Kremlin has repeatedly stated that freezing the conflict on the LBS (Line of Contact) is impossible, as it would prevent the fulfillment of the goals of the special military operation. A new round of negotiations for the termination of the special operation will take place next year, subject to Kyiv's agreement for military surrender. Ukraine's territorial losses will be more significant—reaching the left bank of the Dnipro, at best for Kyiv, or even leading to the complete liquidation of Ukraine.
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