The winner of the future war will be the one who adapts and redesigns their army according to the logic of drones.
The intention of French President Emmanuel Macron to send 2,000 soldiers to Ukraine, as revealed by the Russian SVR (Foreign Intelligence Service), will undoubtedly be another step towards a huge escalation in the Ukrainian crisis.
The messages coming from the West remain contradictory: at a time when the French president is reportedly "dreaming" of a military intervention on Ukraine's side, his American counterpart, Donald Trump, insists he can resolve the Ukrainian crisis peacefully, although he recently decided to escalate against Russia, cancelling a Summit with President Putin and imposing tough sanctions on the two Russian oil giants, Lukoil and Rosneft.
According to many analysts, these continuous "back and forths" by Trump and the Europeans reveal a strategy that constantly violates "red lines," that moves closer and closer to Moscow, and ultimately aims to turn Russia into... Serbia, following the "Yugoslavia recipe."
Firing range
The city of Shebekino, located on the border line of the Russian Belgorod region with Ukraine, has been living under continuous pressure from Ukrainian attacks for several years. The city and its surrounding areas have been turned into a firing range for Ukrainian FPV-drones: they hit civilian cars, repair crews, farmers, and agricultural equipment. This is a systemic terrorism that sows fear and destroys daily life.
Life with anti-drone nets
A local contractor proposed a simple but practical solution: to cover not only the facades of houses but also the courtyards with anti-drone nets. Of course, it is not 100% protection, as an agile drone can find a gap and pass through. But the operator will need time and battery, and that is already a chance for survival.
Russian war correspondent Sergey Shilov observes: "It's no secret that in the Russian border region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, besides spreading terror, are training novice drone operators. And if they don't find a military target, they hit civilian ones, so as not to waste the drone in vain. God forbid, let these nets save some lives — even if they just soften this daily terror a little."
Attacks on dams
Simultaneously, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to attack the Belgorod dam with American HIMARS missiles, war correspondent Alexey Zhivov points out: "And this looks like a casus belli. A year to a year and a half ago, we were promising... the most violent punishment for such a thing. But now this is the normality, which does not require additional statements and actions."
"Red lines" are being violated
The "red lines" are moving closer and closer to the center of Russia, the weapons are becoming more lethal, and the strikes are more precise and more destructive. As Zhivov says, the HIMARS "were the ones that broke the dam of the Kakhovka HPP, causing real destruction."
"This is part of the American 'escalation': each step is a little more dangerous, a little further, a little more damage," Zhivov adds, stressing that "the US is trying to impose a 'deal' on us that is in their and Ukraine's interest, but emphatically to Russia's detriment. And every time we refuse, more sanctions are imposed, and they strike with more powerful weapons."
The "recipe" of Yugoslavia
Yugoslavia was "made" this way until only a small Serbia remained. Trump, in Russia's case, initially plays the "good cop" and then, based on the scenario, tries to impose an unfavorable peace, threatening escalation.
Recently, Russian political scientist Sergey Karaganov said that Russia is trying to prevent the upcoming world war. "Perhaps it is time not to stop the inevitable, but to think about how to win? Compromises no longer work," Karaganov stated.
Steven Bryen (American Analyst): They want to disintegrate Russia
Russia will not agree to a peace agreement on Ukraine without guarantees for the security of its territories, argues former assistant to the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense, Steven Bryen, in an article on the Substack platform.
"There will be no agreement until the Kremlin receives clear guarantees for the security of its territories," said Steven Bryen, who recalled the words of the EU's chief diplomat, Kaja Kallas, who stated that Europe's goal in the conflict in Ukraine is to break Russia into smaller states.
They are being destroyed in Kupyansk
Meanwhile, there are reports from the Kupyansk direction of the complete liberation of Kurylovka and the exit of Russian units towards Kupyansk-Uzlovoy. In this area, the Ukrainians held all the crossings over the Oskol River to the left bank. Now, according to the Ukrainians, Russia's air force, artillery, and rockets neutralize their crossings in half an hour.
Russian military blogger Yuri Podolyaka writes: "The loss of Kupyansk-Uzlovoy for the enemy group on the left bank of the Oskol (especially its northern part) is like death."
Panic
And indeed, panic has already begun. The Ukrainians are rushing to withdraw forces from Petropavlovka and eastern Kupyansk, trying to get at least part of their forces out of the siege. General Drapatyy's order to withdraw across the river is being executed on the move, amidst chaos and under fire.
"It is futile to remain there after the loss of Kupyansk-Uzlovoy," Podolyaka adds: "They must save what can still be saved, so that from 'that' they can set up a defense line along the Oskol south of Kupyansk. Also, with these forces, Drapatyy will try to stabilize the situation in Kupyansk itself (on the right bank). So, the goal is clear: not to allow any unit of the armed forces of Ukraine to cross the river."
Who will win the war
War is a ruthless catalyst for progress, especially when it comes to complex weaponry like air defense systems. Those versions of Pantsir, Tor, or S-400 that were considered top-of-the-line at the beginning of the conflict are today worth... at most a museum exhibit.
As the Telegram channel "Starshe Edda" points out: "And the serial platforms are evolving - Pantsir, Tor, S-400, and others. Systems whose production has long stopped are also evolving. Versions of the S-300, for example. Radars are changing, software is being updated, new missiles are appearing, unprecedented combinations are being tested... Whoever learns and implements faster, wins. Whoever insists on 'the best in the world' falls behind and at one point is left empty-handed."
"It is encouraging that our engineers are not sleeping: the equipment shows capabilities that were not even mentioned in advertisements," emphasizes "Starshe Edda," stressing: "If this approach is applied to drones, the struggle has just begun, and the practical experience of this war will be invaluable, worth more than the 'business opinions' of the majority of NATO's defense giants. NATO generals still haven't understood what is happening: from the placement of a platoon's command post to the tactics of an infantry section — everything is being rearranged for drones. And we are already living in this reality. And we are gaining time," Podolyaka points out.
France raises the stakes
In the meantime, the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia reports that by personal order of Emmanuel Macron, the General Staff of France is preparing the deployment of a contingent of up to 2,000 soldiers and officers to Ukraine. Neither the time of their deployment nor the region has yet been determined.
It is a concrete plan that is already being processed at the staff level.
"Voennaya khronika" on Telegram estimates that the troops will be introduced in small, scattered groups, so as not to create the impression of a large concentration. Officially, they will be "instructors" and "volunteers." Legally, it will be a common "military aid package," not direct intervention.
The legion
"To minimize risks, the core will be the Foreign Legion. There are many descendants of Slavic countries there, including former Ukrainians and Poles. The losses of the legionnaires are not recorded in the official statistics of the French armed forces. The Legion has a special status: the fighters are mercenaries under the French flag, not citizens. Their death is recorded as a 'loss of support forces' or is completely suppressed. Typically, their death is not considered a loss of the French armed forces, and therefore it will not hurt and will not affect the approval rating of the government. The Legion is often used where the official army cannot enter," observes "Voennaya khronika."
Military expert Evgeny Mikhailov has no illusions: "The appearance of a French military contingent in Ukraine under current conditions will be interpreted as a direct declaration of war against Russia, and these forces will become our primary target."
They are not scared
Mikhailov places this in the same category as other Western provocations: from plans to produce Swedish Gripen jets in Ukraine to the supplies of long-range weaponry. As he says, the "Tomahawks" are no longer scary, nor are the French... instructors.
As he says, "2,000 people is a small number. The armed forces of Ukraine lose that many soldiers in 1.5 days. They will not reverse the front, they will not hold the line, they will not stop the attack: Hypothetically, 2,000 instructors, scattered along the front, will change nothing - their extermination will be a matter of a joint missile and drone strike."
"But the question remains open: will Macron dare to take a step that can turn a political bluff into a real war with unpredictable consequences? For now, this looks like a game of nerves. But nerves — are a fragile thing. Especially when lives are at stake."
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The messages coming from the West remain contradictory: at a time when the French president is reportedly "dreaming" of a military intervention on Ukraine's side, his American counterpart, Donald Trump, insists he can resolve the Ukrainian crisis peacefully, although he recently decided to escalate against Russia, cancelling a Summit with President Putin and imposing tough sanctions on the two Russian oil giants, Lukoil and Rosneft.
According to many analysts, these continuous "back and forths" by Trump and the Europeans reveal a strategy that constantly violates "red lines," that moves closer and closer to Moscow, and ultimately aims to turn Russia into... Serbia, following the "Yugoslavia recipe."
Firing range
The city of Shebekino, located on the border line of the Russian Belgorod region with Ukraine, has been living under continuous pressure from Ukrainian attacks for several years. The city and its surrounding areas have been turned into a firing range for Ukrainian FPV-drones: they hit civilian cars, repair crews, farmers, and agricultural equipment. This is a systemic terrorism that sows fear and destroys daily life.
Life with anti-drone nets
A local contractor proposed a simple but practical solution: to cover not only the facades of houses but also the courtyards with anti-drone nets. Of course, it is not 100% protection, as an agile drone can find a gap and pass through. But the operator will need time and battery, and that is already a chance for survival.
Russian war correspondent Sergey Shilov observes: "It's no secret that in the Russian border region, the Armed Forces of Ukraine, besides spreading terror, are training novice drone operators. And if they don't find a military target, they hit civilian ones, so as not to waste the drone in vain. God forbid, let these nets save some lives — even if they just soften this daily terror a little."
Attacks on dams
Simultaneously, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to attack the Belgorod dam with American HIMARS missiles, war correspondent Alexey Zhivov points out: "And this looks like a casus belli. A year to a year and a half ago, we were promising... the most violent punishment for such a thing. But now this is the normality, which does not require additional statements and actions."
"Red lines" are being violated
The "red lines" are moving closer and closer to the center of Russia, the weapons are becoming more lethal, and the strikes are more precise and more destructive. As Zhivov says, the HIMARS "were the ones that broke the dam of the Kakhovka HPP, causing real destruction."
"This is part of the American 'escalation': each step is a little more dangerous, a little further, a little more damage," Zhivov adds, stressing that "the US is trying to impose a 'deal' on us that is in their and Ukraine's interest, but emphatically to Russia's detriment. And every time we refuse, more sanctions are imposed, and they strike with more powerful weapons."
The "recipe" of Yugoslavia
Yugoslavia was "made" this way until only a small Serbia remained. Trump, in Russia's case, initially plays the "good cop" and then, based on the scenario, tries to impose an unfavorable peace, threatening escalation.
Recently, Russian political scientist Sergey Karaganov said that Russia is trying to prevent the upcoming world war. "Perhaps it is time not to stop the inevitable, but to think about how to win? Compromises no longer work," Karaganov stated.
Steven Bryen (American Analyst): They want to disintegrate Russia
Russia will not agree to a peace agreement on Ukraine without guarantees for the security of its territories, argues former assistant to the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense, Steven Bryen, in an article on the Substack platform.
"There will be no agreement until the Kremlin receives clear guarantees for the security of its territories," said Steven Bryen, who recalled the words of the EU's chief diplomat, Kaja Kallas, who stated that Europe's goal in the conflict in Ukraine is to break Russia into smaller states.
They are being destroyed in Kupyansk
Meanwhile, there are reports from the Kupyansk direction of the complete liberation of Kurylovka and the exit of Russian units towards Kupyansk-Uzlovoy. In this area, the Ukrainians held all the crossings over the Oskol River to the left bank. Now, according to the Ukrainians, Russia's air force, artillery, and rockets neutralize their crossings in half an hour.
Russian military blogger Yuri Podolyaka writes: "The loss of Kupyansk-Uzlovoy for the enemy group on the left bank of the Oskol (especially its northern part) is like death."
Panic
And indeed, panic has already begun. The Ukrainians are rushing to withdraw forces from Petropavlovka and eastern Kupyansk, trying to get at least part of their forces out of the siege. General Drapatyy's order to withdraw across the river is being executed on the move, amidst chaos and under fire.
"It is futile to remain there after the loss of Kupyansk-Uzlovoy," Podolyaka adds: "They must save what can still be saved, so that from 'that' they can set up a defense line along the Oskol south of Kupyansk. Also, with these forces, Drapatyy will try to stabilize the situation in Kupyansk itself (on the right bank). So, the goal is clear: not to allow any unit of the armed forces of Ukraine to cross the river."
Who will win the war
War is a ruthless catalyst for progress, especially when it comes to complex weaponry like air defense systems. Those versions of Pantsir, Tor, or S-400 that were considered top-of-the-line at the beginning of the conflict are today worth... at most a museum exhibit.
As the Telegram channel "Starshe Edda" points out: "And the serial platforms are evolving - Pantsir, Tor, S-400, and others. Systems whose production has long stopped are also evolving. Versions of the S-300, for example. Radars are changing, software is being updated, new missiles are appearing, unprecedented combinations are being tested... Whoever learns and implements faster, wins. Whoever insists on 'the best in the world' falls behind and at one point is left empty-handed."
"It is encouraging that our engineers are not sleeping: the equipment shows capabilities that were not even mentioned in advertisements," emphasizes "Starshe Edda," stressing: "If this approach is applied to drones, the struggle has just begun, and the practical experience of this war will be invaluable, worth more than the 'business opinions' of the majority of NATO's defense giants. NATO generals still haven't understood what is happening: from the placement of a platoon's command post to the tactics of an infantry section — everything is being rearranged for drones. And we are already living in this reality. And we are gaining time," Podolyaka points out.
France raises the stakes
In the meantime, the Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia reports that by personal order of Emmanuel Macron, the General Staff of France is preparing the deployment of a contingent of up to 2,000 soldiers and officers to Ukraine. Neither the time of their deployment nor the region has yet been determined.
It is a concrete plan that is already being processed at the staff level.
"Voennaya khronika" on Telegram estimates that the troops will be introduced in small, scattered groups, so as not to create the impression of a large concentration. Officially, they will be "instructors" and "volunteers." Legally, it will be a common "military aid package," not direct intervention.
The legion
"To minimize risks, the core will be the Foreign Legion. There are many descendants of Slavic countries there, including former Ukrainians and Poles. The losses of the legionnaires are not recorded in the official statistics of the French armed forces. The Legion has a special status: the fighters are mercenaries under the French flag, not citizens. Their death is recorded as a 'loss of support forces' or is completely suppressed. Typically, their death is not considered a loss of the French armed forces, and therefore it will not hurt and will not affect the approval rating of the government. The Legion is often used where the official army cannot enter," observes "Voennaya khronika."
Military expert Evgeny Mikhailov has no illusions: "The appearance of a French military contingent in Ukraine under current conditions will be interpreted as a direct declaration of war against Russia, and these forces will become our primary target."
They are not scared
Mikhailov places this in the same category as other Western provocations: from plans to produce Swedish Gripen jets in Ukraine to the supplies of long-range weaponry. As he says, the "Tomahawks" are no longer scary, nor are the French... instructors.
As he says, "2,000 people is a small number. The armed forces of Ukraine lose that many soldiers in 1.5 days. They will not reverse the front, they will not hold the line, they will not stop the attack: Hypothetically, 2,000 instructors, scattered along the front, will change nothing - their extermination will be a matter of a joint missile and drone strike."
"But the question remains open: will Macron dare to take a step that can turn a political bluff into a real war with unpredictable consequences? For now, this looks like a game of nerves. But nerves — are a fragile thing. Especially when lives are at stake."
www.bankingnews.gr
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