The USA and Iran continue their mutual strikes, missiles come and go, airstrikes occur, Hormuz has closed, and the American bases in the Persian Gulf states have turned to ash.
Yet a country clearly warmongering, Israel, is absent from this bleak equation, why has Israel not attacked Iran again with the USA?
Israel has prepared for 3 potential scenarios.
According to Israeli security sources and diplomatic sources, despite the full readiness of the military for an attack, the Netanyahu government currently prefers not to enter the war directly.
A decision that is influenced more by internal political parameters and the upcoming elections.
Israel weighs three options
War, waiting, or sanctions?
The Israeli military has finalized its operational plans for the resumption of attacks on Iran, alongside the exchange of attacks between the United States and Iran.
However, Israeli sources say that Netanyahu now has three options:
1) to rejoin the American military operation,
2) to wait for a possible Iranian attack on Israel and react, or
3) to stay out of the war and instead try to tighten the sanctions on Iran through the USA.
The 3rd option and the target list in Iran
According to these sources, the third option to stay out of the war is the most likely scenario in the current situation. An Israeli security source, who requested anonymity, stated that the country's military has completed all plans for an attack on Iran and is ready to carry out the operation if war breaks out again or Iran directly attacks Israel.
According to him, Israel's target list includes the vital oil and gas infrastructure of Iran, including Kharg Island, power stations, industrial centers, and transportation networks. targets that Israeli officials believe could increase the economic pressure on Iran.
In the previous stages of the conflict, Israel and the United States decided to refrain from attacks on such targets, but if the war continues, such a restriction may no longer exist.
However, the same security official acknowledged that there is currently a broad consensus in the region and even internationally to prevent Israel from entering the war again, although he warned that this situation could change with an unexpected move by Iran or a sudden decision by Trump.
Netanyahu between war and elections
According to political sources, the relative silence of the Israeli government regarding the recent American attacks on Iran shows that Netanyahu is in no hurry to enter the war. Although some in Israel believe that the previous military operation failed to cause enough damage to Iran's infrastructure, the public willingness to start a new war is very limited.
These sources report that Netanyahu is facing a decline in his popularity ahead of the October elections.
The Likud party loses serious ground
A new poll also shows that the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, has surpassed the Likud party for the first time.
Some analysts believe that the escalation of the security crisis could reunite some of Likud's supporters around Netanyahu, but on the other hand, many Israeli citizens hesitate to enter a new war after years of continuous conflicts.
The military is also under great pressure after several years of extensive military operations, and Israeli society does not want to return to conditions of shelters and missile attacks.
A close aide to the Israeli prime minister stated that the government's preferred scenario is the intensification of the economic blockade of Iran and the increase of sanctions. an approach that he believes would be less costly than a new war or an unfavorable deal.
www.bankingnews.gr
Σχόλια αναγνωστών