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Europe on edge, fears of a domino effect in Greece - Order for new "lockdown" in France, unrest in 5 countries - Elites have bankrupted

Europe on edge, fears of a domino effect in Greece - Order for new
Social unrest intensifies pressure on French President Emmanuel Macron, who faces criticism over his decision to conduct a three-day tour in the Middle East

Europe is sinking into high prices, a housing crisis, crushing energy costs, and political challenges, with hundreds of thousands of citizens taking to the streets and demonstrations in several countries resulting in violent clashes. At the center is France, where following extensive unrest, an unofficial lockdown was imposed in Paris and other cities, while Sébastien Lecornu's government is called upon to address both social unrest and growing pressure in bond markets. From Italy and Spain to Portugal and Albania, discontent is acquiring European dimensions, with Greece also facing pressures of inflation and housing. Recent student mobilizations at Syntagma, with tents outside Parliament, bring back the question of whether accumulated social discontent can transform into a broader political crisis.

Curfews in France

The image of French cities following the violent weekend captures the scale of the crisis. More than 500,000 people participated in demonstrations, according to reports on mobilizations largely initiated by students, which quickly expanded to gather citizens protesting the cost of living, conditions in education, and the degradation of public services. Most marches were peaceful. However, groups of protesters proceeded with store looting, vandalism, arson of public buildings, and attacks against police officers. The Limoges town hall was set ablaze, while commercial shops suffered extensive damage.Limoges.webp According to data transmitted by Reuters, approximately 2,400 people were arrested during clashes, while nearly 1,000 police officers and gendarmes were injured. Damage to businesses and shops provoked additional concern regarding the economic consequences of unrest. The government attempted to restore order with increased police presence and restrictive measures. Local curfews were imposed in areas of Paris, including around Place de la République and Les Halles, as well as parts of other cities. In Lille and neighboring municipalities, restrictions were imposed on minors, while corresponding measures were announced in Nice and other areas. In Marseille, gatherings and demonstrations were banned. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu stated that the night from Monday to Tuesday was calmer, noting that new measures will be imposed wherever deemed necessary. Relative calm, however, does not mean the causes of social tension have been addressed.

Macron targeted as the country sinks into crisis

Social unrest intensifies pressure on President Emmanuel Macron, who faces criticism for his decision to conduct a three-day tour in the Middle East, with stops in Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Qatar, at a time when France faces one of its most severe waves of unrest in recent years. Macron has argued that the goal of the trip is to secure energy supplies, address high fuel prices, and strengthen defense and energy cooperation with Gulf countries. However, his absence from the domestic political front has provoked criticism. Political commentator Christophe Barbier told RTL radio that "there is no pilot left in the plane," while La Dépêche du Midi newspaper heavily criticized the French president, linking his tour to the image of a country sinking deeper into crisis. Unrest unfolds in a particularly critical political juncture. France has a fragmented parliament without a stable majority, while the April 2027 presidential elections approach. Opposition parties attempt to capitalize on social discontent while the government is called upon to pass a difficult budget. Political confrontation now concerns not only security and managing unrest, but also whether the existing economic policy model can meet citizens' needs.

The collapse of purchasing power

Behind demonstrations lies a web of economic and social pressures. Rising energy prices, high rents, shortages in education, and difficulty covering basic needs create an environment of growing discontent. In France, Insee statistical office data show inflation stood at 3.1% in September from 2.4% in August, while energy prices surged 21.3% annually. Simultaneously, unemployment reached 8.3% in the second quarter of 2026, corresponding to roughly 2.7 million people. For youth aged 15 to 24, the unemployment rate climbed to 21.6%. Pressure on purchasing power is equally significant. According to Insee estimates cited by Le Monde, purchasing power per consumption unit is projected to drop 0.7% in 2026. Calculations by the French Economic Institute for Le Monde estimate that the loss in purchasing power since 2024 corresponds to roughly 1,200 euros annually for a household with two adults and two children and 600 euros for a single adult. For many citizens, the problem no longer limits to an inability to save. It concerns covering basic needs, from housing and heating to transportation and children's education.

From France to Italy, Spain, and Portugal

France is not the only country confronting social mobilizations. Demonstrations took place the same weekend in Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Albania, with different triggers but a common background of economic pressure and discontent toward governments. In Italy, a demonstration in central Milan against the rising cost of living ended in violent clashes. Certain protesters attacked police with stones and paving fragments, while torching barricades and causing damage to shops. In Spain, the housing crisis sits at the center of mobilizations.

Particular emotion was provoked by the case of 87-year-old Maricarmen Abascal, who was evicted from her residence following a 230% rent increase by an investment fund and died two weeks later. The incident became a symbol of difficulties faced by vulnerable citizens in a housing market where prices and rents rise while access to affordable housing grows increasingly difficult.Ispania.webp In Portugal, thousands demonstrated against the cost of living, low wages, and the housing crisis. The country's Minister of State and Finance, Miranda Sarmento, acknowledged fuel increases burden households, underlining concurrently that housing costs constitute a major problem. According to Eurostat, housing prices in Portugal rose 16.5% annually in the second quarter of 2026, recording the largest increase among EU member states for that period. The Portuguese government seeks to increase housing supply to limit purchase and rental costs. However, housing pressure remains strong, particularly for youth and limited-income households.

Violent clashes and demands for Rama's resignation in Albania

In Albania, demonstrations connect with discontent over university conditions, high tuition fees, and broader political developments. Protesters demanded the resignation of Prime Minister Edi Rama, while in certain incidents Molotov cocktails and other objects were used against police. Simultaneously, cars and dumpsters were set on fire. Mobilizations highlight difficulties youth face accessing education, alongside broader discontent regarding economic prospects and the operation of public services. Although causes and political conditions differ across countries, discontent over the cost of living, housing, and limited prospects for younger generations emerges as a common denominator.Albania.webp

Why now?

Analysts point out no single, unique cause explains the intensity of demonstrations. In France's case, rising energy costs, discontent over public services, educational shortages, and political uncertainty functioned cumulatively. Andrew Kenningham from Capital Economics has pointed out rising energy prices can contribute to reactions, but do not suffice on their own to explain the scale of unrest. Professor Douglas Yates from the American Graduate School in Paris describes escalation as a result of converging factors: inflation, discontent over living costs, and students' demands for better school infrastructure. However, another dimension exists: presidential elections in France, as opposition parties attempt to challenge government policy. Concurrently, slow economic growth and high public debt limit European governments' margins to increase social spending, boost incomes, or proceed with extensive tax reliefs.

The French debt front

Social unrest unfolds at a time when France faces severe fiscal pressures. Following clashes, French stocks and government bonds faced pressure, while the euro retreated. Investors monitor with growing concern the government's ability to limit the deficit and ensure the sustainability of public finances. The government targets reducing the fiscal deficit to 5% of GDP in 2027 from 5.4% projected for 2026. Achieving this goal presupposes difficult decisions regarding spending and tax revenues. Among measures proposed for the 2027 budget are freezing the civil service wage index and stricter sick leave compensation terms. Sharon Bell from Goldman Sachs has warned deficit reduction will prove difficult without painful measures, leaving open the possibility of tax increases. For his part, Mike Bell from RBC BlueBay Asset Management warned of the real risk of a sovereign debt crisis in France. The pension system also sits at the center of debate. He argues raising the retirement age could contribute to fiscal consolidation while recognizing such a change could provoke new, intense social reactions. The government therefore faces a difficult equation: called upon to limit the deficit without worsening social discontent further.

Mobilizations in Greece too

The Greek case presents different political and economic conditions than the French, yet pressures provoking social discontent are apparent in our country as well. High prices, energy costs, and difficulty accessing affordable housing burden workers, youth, families, and small-business owners. For several households, covering basic needs absorbs an increasingly larger share of disposable income, limiting savings capacity and generating a sense of economic insecurity. Recent student mobilizations at Syntagma provided a characteristic image of this pressure.Sintagma_1.jpg On October 13, students erected tents in front of Parliament protesting high housing and living costs, underfunding of public education, and difficulties covering study expenses. They demanded, among other things, measures on rents, more student dormitories, and enhanced student welfare. Mobilizations do not limit to housing. Students and educators schedule new mobilizations on October 21, demanding measures against inflation, strengthening public education, covering school staffing gaps, and improving working conditions.

The fear of a domino effect

Unrest across France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Albania highlights a common challenge for governments: addressing high prices, improving public services, and ensuring affordable housing while public finances remain pressured. Differences among countries are significant. Portugal, for instance, maintains it possesses a stronger fiscal position than France and greater maneuvering room. However, even there, the housing crisis provokes intense reactions. Miranda Sarmento has pointed out Europe requires higher productivity and competitiveness, as slower economic growth limits possibilities for wage increases and funding better public services and social support.

The problem is citizens demand immediate solutions while governments must manage social discontent and fiscal stability simultaneously. When answers are deemed inadequate, disappointment can transform into political challenge and mass mobilizations. For Greece, the objective is not pre-empting an evolution matching France's, but recognizing factors that can intensify social tension: high prices, housing acquisition difficulties, income pressures, and the sense public services fail to meet citizen needs. The French example demonstrates how difficult crisis management becomes when economic problems, political uncertainty, and social discontent accumulate. Whether corresponding escalation occurs in Greece cannot be considered given. Pressure, however, is real, and governments' next moves will largely determine whether de-escalation or further confrontation sharpening occurs.

www.bankingnews.gr

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